Evidence reviewed November 1, 2026. Published estimates, historical observations and illustrative calculations are identified separately. Dollar values are nominal U.S. dollars. AAA figures describe its 2026 new-vehicle model; BLS covers 2025 consumer-unit spending; CFPB covers participating-lender loan originations from 2018 through 2022.
Monthly equivalents divide annual figures by 12. The vehicle-category gap is 16,449 minus 9,259. AAA’s press release gives a gap $1 higher; this report consistently uses the displayed brochure totals. Published ownership and operating subtotals sum to $12,862 while the published weighted total is $12,863. We preserve source rounding rather than altering inputs. The 2026 methodology break prevents a like-for-like comparison with 2025.
Loan payments use M = P × r / (1 − (1 + r)^(−n)), where P is principal, r is the annual interest rate divided by 12, and n is the number of monthly payments. Interest equals n × M − P. Balance after k payments equals P × (1 + r)^k − M × ((1 + r)^k − 1) / r. At zero interest, payment is P / n and balance is P − k × M. The calculations retain full precision until display; daily accrual, payment rounding, fees, late payments and prepayment can change real schedules. No resale forecast is inferred from a loan balance.
The sensitivity examples use selected inputs: 15,000 annual miles, 25 mpg, a $1-per-gallon change, a $50 monthly insurance change and a $100 monthly repair reserve. They are independent scenarios, not observed averages. The report does not model leases, business tax treatment, opportunity cost of capital or every location-specific charge. Use the worksheet to add costs relevant to the actual purchase.
Before a future evidence update, check for revisions in the linked releases and preserve methodology changes. A new publication date alone is not a new observation. No reviewer credentials, survey sample or fieldwork are claimed by this report.
Additional examples are explicitly illustrative. Monthly budget inputs sum to $1,163.29. The repair-or-replace comparison measures 12-month economic costs, with no original purchase cost counted for the already-owned vehicle. The replacement price excludes the separately listed acquisition fees. Line charts show scheduled loan balances, using zero after the final payment. Powertrain non-energy cost is the published total minus the energy component, retaining published rounding.
The two-car tool and workbook apply the same monthly amortization model. Total ownership cost is purchase price minus assumed resale value, plus upfront fees, interest incurred during the holding period and estimated running expenses. Loan payments stop at maturity. Net exit cash is resale less outstanding principal. Each sensitivity changes one input from the base, and the mileage sensitivity changes energy expenses only. No personal inputs are transmitted by the tool.